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  • 2021 Election Results

Weather with Bill Evans

Good Day On This Tuesday Jan. 25, 2022 A cold front moves through the region today, followed by high pressure building in through Wednesday and moving offshore on Thursday. A cold front will move across on Friday. A low pressure system will track off the coast Friday night through Saturday night. High pressure will build toward the area for Sunday and Monday. A surface cold front moves through this afternoon with shallow moisture in place, so not expecting any precip with its passage. Cold air behind the front lags enough for us to have high temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s for most spots. Stronger cold air advection sets in tonight with breezy conditions on a NW flow. High pressure building in will keep us dry, but low temperatures will be around 20 in the city, teens for most other locations with some single digits well inland. The cold air combined wind will make it feel like the single digits late at night in most areas. A weak longwave trough axis shifts through on Wednesday, followed by ridging at night into Thursday. At the surface, high pressure builds in through Thursday morning before shifting offshore in the afternoon. Dry weather through this period with below normal temperatures. Highs generally in the 20s both days. Lows for Wednesday night fall into the teens for the NYC metropolitan area, with single digits in most suburbs - even below zero well NW. Winds will will be light Wednesday night, so although this will allow for radiational cooling, wind chills won`t require any headlines. For Thursday night, a cold front approaches from the NW along with some lift from a shortwave and approaching jet streak. Low chances of snow showers moving in late at night NW of the city. A longwave trough will dominate Friday into the weekend as additional shortwave energy moves through the northern flow with a high amplitude trough moving toward the east coast. This will develop low pressure off the southeastern coast on Friday and this system has the potential to rapidly develop into a significant coastal low that has the potential to impact the area Friday night into Saturday night. While overall guidance has begun to come into better agreement with the storm there remain differences with the track and strength of the low. With many uncertainties and forecast models continue to shifts its track from run to run, have opted to make very little change in the extended at this time. Generally looking at chance POPS from NYC north and west, and likely or higher POPs east of there. Overall, expecting what could be a high impact event however confidence on the exact details remain low. There does remain the possibility of some locations reach warning criteria snowfall. Again, there are uncertainties with the track, and coastal locations may see more mixed precipitation or even going over to all rain for a period of time. In addition to the precipitation threat, there is a chance of strong gusty winds for the coastal areas. Once the low passes to the northeast Sunday high pressure builds to the southwest into the beginning of next week. Temperatures through the long range forecast will remain below seasonal normals, with the coldest days Wednesday into Thursday. Temperatures at this time may be 15 to near 20 degrees below normal. .MARINE... SW winds early this morning diminish as the morning wears on, however are expected to increase again behind a cold front this afternoon into evening as they veer toward NW. Gusts and seas on the ocean will be marginally within advisory criteria, so have decided to extend the SCA on all ocean waters through tonight. Might be able to cancel the SCA at some point tonight before the night is through, but on the other hand, the SCA could need to be extended into part of Wednesday at least east of Moriches inlet. For the rest of the waters, sub-advisory conditions prevail although easternmost portions of LI sound could have occasional gusts up to 25 kt through Weds. Winds and seas subside Weds night into Thursday as a high pressure ridge shifts into the region. Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels through Friday. A coastal low will impact the area waters Friday night into Saturday night with at least SCA conditions, with the potential for gales. The coastal storm could bring significant precipitation to the area Friday night into Saturday night. River ice continues to increase due to the persistent cold. The Wallkill River at Gardiner may be impacted by ice.
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